Oregon at Illinois

Saturday, October 24 · 3:00 PM ET · Saturday afternoon game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY AFTERNOON GAMEBIG TEN GAME

AWAYOregonDucks76%chance to win · Polymarket 76.5% · Kalshi 75.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 2 DAYSSat 3:00 PM ET

HOMEIllinoisFighting Illini24%chance to win · Polymarket 23.5% · Kalshi 24.5%

Favorite: Oregon, 76%Spread: Oregon −8.5Total: 49.5The sites are 1.0 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line they both price live. The biggest difference is on the chance to win.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Oregon wins	76.5%	75.5%	1.0 pts
Spread: Oregon −8.5Chance Oregon wins by 9 or more	51%	—	—
Total: 49.5 pointsChance of 50 or more points combined	51%	—	—

Oregon rose from 71% to 76.5% on Polymarket since Oct 13, peaking at 89%. Polymarket has 76.5% and Kalshi 75.5% now.

Oregon Ducks: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

60%65%70%75%80%85%90%Oct 14Oct 16Oct 18Oct 20Oct 22Polymarket 76.5%Kalshi 75.5%

Both teams play in the Big Ten, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the Big Ten	Win the national title
OregonDucks	18.8%P 20.5 · K 17	5.7%P 5.4 · K 6	2.5%P 3 · K 2
IllinoisFighting Illini	2.6%P 2.6 · K 1*	0.6%P 0.6 · K 1*	1%P — · K 1*

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.