Notre Dame at North Carolina

Saturday, October 3 · 12:00 PM ET · Saturday early game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY EARLY GAMENON-CONFERENCE GAME

AWAYNotre DameFighting Irish93.5%chance to win · Polymarket 93.5% · Kalshi 93.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 1 DAYSat 12:00 PM ET

HOMENorth CarolinaTar Heels6.5%chance to win · Polymarket 6.5% · Kalshi 6.5%

Favorite: Notre Dame, 93.5%Spread: Notre Dame −21.5Total: 45.5The sites agree

The two sites agree

Polymarket and Kalshi give Notre Dame the same 93.5% chance to win, and they match on every line here.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Notre Dame wins	93.5%	93.5%	Same
Spread: Notre Dame −21.5Chance Notre Dame wins by 22 or more	50.5%	50.5%	Same
Total: 45.5 pointsChance of 46 or more points combined	52.5%	52.5%	Same

Notre Dame has stayed between 93.5% and 93.5% since Oct 1. Both sites have it at 93.5% now.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

90%95%100%Oct 2Both 93.5%

Season odds for both teams, from Polymarket and Kalshi.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win their conference	Win the national title
Notre DameFighting Irish	89%P 90 · K 88	—Not listed	12.5%P 12.5 · K 12.5
North CarolinaTar Heels	—Not listed	2.2%P 2.2 · K 1*	—Not listed

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.