Ohio State at Iowa

Saturday, October 3 · 3:30 PM ET · Saturday afternoon game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY AFTERNOON GAMEBIG TEN GAME

AWAYOhio StateBuckeyes84.5%chance to win · Polymarket 84.5% · Kalshi 84.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 1 DAYSat 3:30 PM ET

HOMEIowaHawkeyes15.5%chance to win · Polymarket 15.5% · Kalshi 15.5%

Favorite: Ohio State, 84.5%Spread: Ohio State −14.5Total: 45.5The sites agree

The two sites agree

Polymarket and Kalshi give Ohio State the same 84.5% chance to win, and they match on every line here.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Ohio State wins	84.5%	84.5%	Same
Spread: Ohio State −14.5Chance Ohio State wins by 15 or more	47.5%	47.5%	Same
Total: 45.5 pointsChance of 46 or more points combined	50.5%	50.5%	Same

Ohio State has stayed between 83.5% and 84.5% since Oct 1. Both sites have it at 84.5% now.

Ohio State Buckeyes: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

80%85%90%Oct 2Both 84.5%

Both teams play in the Big Ten, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the Big Ten	Win the national title
Ohio StateBuckeyes	77.8%P 78.5 · K 77	44.8%P 46 · K 43.5	13%P 13.5 · K 12.5
IowaHawkeyes	20%P 29* · K 20	2.8%P 2.1 · K 3.5	1%P — · K 1*

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.