Louisiana-Monroe at Troy

Saturday, October 24 · 4:00 PM ET · Saturday afternoon game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY AFTERNOON GAMESUN BELT GAME

AWAYLouisiana-MonroeWarhawks15.2%chance to win · Polymarket 15% · Kalshi 15.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 2 DAYSSat 4:00 PM ET

HOMETroyTrojans84.8%chance to win · Polymarket 85% · Kalshi 84.5%

Favorite: Troy, 84.8%Spread: Troy −13.5Total: 51.5The sites are 0.5 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 0.5 points of each other on every line they both price live. The biggest difference is on the chance to win.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Troy wins	85%	84.5%	0.5 pts
Spread: Troy −13.5Chance Troy wins by 14 or more	51.5%	—	—
Total: 51.5 pointsChance of 52 or more points combined	46%	—	—

Troy has stayed between 80% and 91% since Oct 16. Polymarket has 85% and Kalshi 84.5% now.

Troy Trojans: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

75%80%85%90%95%Oct 17Oct 19Oct 21Polymarket 85%Kalshi 84.5%

Both teams play in the Sun Belt, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the Sun Belt	Win the national title
Louisiana-MonroeWarhawks	—Not listed	0.8%P 0.8* · K —	—Not listed
TroyTrojans	—Not listed	4.5%P 4.5 · K —	—Not listed

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.