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SportsSeason odds checked 37 min ago

College football season odds

Who wins it all, from Polymarket and Kalshi. Each number is the chance the markets give.

Who makes the College Football Playoff?

More than one team gets in, so these add up to well over 100%. 5 teams are 75% or better; 9 are on the bubble.

LIKELY IN · 75% OR BETTER
Notre Dame89%
Georgia84.5%
Texas83.3%
Miami (FL)83%
Ohio State77.8%
ON THE BUBBLE · 25% TO 75%
Indiana69%
Florida55.5%
Alabama52.8%
Oregon50.3%
LSU48.5%
Texas Tech48.3%
Utah38%
Ole Miss35.8%
BYU27.5%
LONG SHOTS · UNDER 25%
Tennessee24%
James Madison21.5%
Iowa20%
Mississippi State19.5%
USC16.3%
Virginia Tech14.8%
Pittsburgh13.5%
Oklahoma State13.3%
Penn State13%
Houston12%
Michigan9%
Louisville8.8%
SMU8.8%
Kansas State7%
Texas A&M6.8%
Arizona6.5%
Missouri6.5%
Auburn6%
Virginia6%
Arizona State5.3%
Kentucky5.3%
Baylor5%
Clemson5%
Tulane4.6%
Illinois4.5%
TCU4.5%
Vanderbilt4%
NC State3.3%
Florida State3.3%
Georgia Tech3.3%
Miami (OH)3.3%
North Texas3.3%
Washington3.3%
South Carolina3.2%
Arkansas3%

THE FULL LIST

  1. 1Notre Dame Fighting Irish89%Polymarket 90%Kalshi 88%Gap 2.0
  2. 2Georgia Bulldogs84.5%Polymarket —Kalshi 84.5%Gap —
  3. 3Texas Longhorns83.3%Polymarket 84%Kalshi 82.5%Gap 1.5
  4. 4Miami (FL) Hurricanes83%Polymarket 82.5%Kalshi 83.5%Gap 1.0
  5. 5Ohio State Buckeyes77.8%Polymarket 78.5%Kalshi 77%Gap 1.5
  6. 6Indiana Hoosiers69%Polymarket 69.5%Kalshi 68.5%Gap 1.0
  7. 7Florida Gators55.5%Polymarket 55%Kalshi 56%Gap 1.0
  8. 8Alabama Crimson Tide52.8%Polymarket 52.5%Kalshi 53%Gap 0.5
  9. 9Oregon Ducks50.3%Polymarket 52%Kalshi 48.5%Gap 3.5
  10. 10LSU Tigers48.5%Polymarket 47.5%Kalshi 49.5%Gap 2.0
  11. 11Texas Tech Red Raiders48.3%Polymarket 49%Kalshi 47.5%Gap 1.5
  12. 12Utah Utes38%Polymarket 39.5%Kalshi 36.5%Gap 3.0
  13. 13Ole Miss Rebels35.8%Polymarket 36.5%Kalshi 35%Gap 1.5
  14. 14BYU Cougars27.5%Polymarket 27.5%Kalshi 27.5%Gap Same
  15. 15Tennessee Volunteers24%Polymarket 30%*Kalshi 24%Gap —
  16. 16James Madison Dukes21.5%Polymarket 18%*Kalshi 21.5%Gap —
  17. 17Iowa Hawkeyes20%Polymarket 29%*Kalshi 20%Gap —
  18. 18Mississippi State Bulldogs19.5%Polymarket —Kalshi 19.5%Gap —
  19. 19USC Trojans16.3%Polymarket 17.5%Kalshi 15%Gap 2.5
  20. 20Virginia Tech Hokies14.8%Polymarket 15%Kalshi 14.5%Gap 0.5
Show all 53
  1. 21Pittsburgh Panthers13.5%Polymarket —Kalshi 13.5%Gap —
  2. 22Oklahoma State Cowboys13.3%Polymarket 12.5%Kalshi 14%Gap 1.5
  3. 23Penn State Nittany Lions13%Polymarket 14.5%Kalshi 11.5%Gap 3.0
  4. 24Houston Cougars12%Polymarket 15%*Kalshi 12%Gap —
  5. 25Michigan Wolverines9%Polymarket 10.5%Kalshi 7.5%Gap 3.0
  6. 26Louisville Cardinals8.8%Polymarket 8.5%Kalshi 9%Gap 0.5
  7. 27SMU Mustangs8.8%Polymarket 8%Kalshi 9.5%Gap 1.5
  8. 28Kansas State Wildcats7%Polymarket —Kalshi 7%Gap —
  9. 29Texas A&M Aggies6.8%Polymarket 9%Kalshi 4.5%Gap 4.5
  10. 30Arizona Wildcats6.5%Polymarket —Kalshi 6.5%Gap —
  11. 31Missouri Tigers6.5%Polymarket 8%Kalshi 5%Gap 3.0
  12. 32Auburn Tigers6%Polymarket 7.5%Kalshi 4.5%Gap 3.0
  13. 33Virginia Cavaliers6%Polymarket —Kalshi 6%Gap —
  14. 34Arizona State Sun Devils5.3%Polymarket 5%Kalshi 5.5%Gap 0.5
  15. 35Kentucky Wildcats5.3%Polymarket 5%Kalshi 5.5%Gap 0.5
  16. 36Baylor Bears5%Polymarket 5%Kalshi 5%Gap Same
  17. 37Clemson Tigers5%Polymarket 5%Kalshi 5%Gap Same
  18. 38Tulane Green Wave4.6%Polymarket 4.6%Kalshi 1%*Gap —
  19. 39Illinois Fighting Illini4.5%Polymarket 6.5%Kalshi 2.5%Gap 4.0
  20. 40TCU Horned Frogs4.5%Polymarket 4.5%Kalshi 1%*Gap —
  21. 41Vanderbilt Commodores4%Polymarket 6.5%Kalshi 1.5%Gap 5.0
  22. 42NC State Wolfpack3.3%Polymarket 5.1%Kalshi 1.5%Gap 3.5
  23. 43Florida State Seminoles3.3%Polymarket 4%Kalshi 2.5%Gap 1.5
  24. 44Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets3.3%Polymarket 5%Kalshi 1.5%Gap 3.5
  25. 45Miami (OH) RedHawks3.3%Polymarket 5%Kalshi 1.5%Gap 3.5
  26. 46North Texas Mean Green3.3%Polymarket 5%Kalshi 1.5%Gap 3.5
  27. 47Washington Huskies3.3%Polymarket 4.5%Kalshi 2%Gap 2.5
  28. 48South Carolina Gamecocks3.2%Polymarket 4.8%Kalshi 1.5%Gap 3.3
  29. 49Arkansas Razorbacks3%Polymarket 4.6%Kalshi 1.5%Gap 3.0
  30. 50California Golden Bears2.5%Polymarket 3.6%Kalshi 1.5%Gap 2.0
  31. 51UMass Minutemen2.5%Polymarket —Kalshi 2.5%Gap —
  32. 52Oklahoma Sooners2.3%Polymarket 1.6%Kalshi 3%Gap 1.4
  33. 53Western Michigan Broncos1.5%Polymarket —Kalshi 1.5%Gap —

* Last trade only: that site has no live price for this pick right now, so it is left out of the chance and the gap.