Falcons at Saints

Monday, October 5 · 8:15 PM ET · Monday night

NFL · MONDAY NIGHTNFC SOUTH GAME

AWAYFalconsAtlanta44.5%chance to win · Polymarket 44.5% · Kalshi 44.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 3 DAYSMon 8:15 PM ET

HOMESaintsNew Orleans55.5%chance to win · Polymarket 55.5% · Kalshi 55.5%

Favorite: Saints, 55.5%Spread: Saints −2.5Total: 48.5The sites agree

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line here. The biggest difference is on the spread.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance the Saints win	55.5%	55.5%	Same
Spread: Saints −2.5Chance the Saints win by 3 or more	49.5%	50.5%	1.0 pts
Total: 48.5 pointsChance of 49 or more points combined	47.5%	48.5%	1.0 pts

The Saints have stayed between 55.5% and 56.5% since Oct 1. Both sites have them at 55.5% now.

New Orleans Saints: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

50%55%60%Oct 2Both 55.5%

Both teams play in the NFC South, so this game moves the division race directly.

TEAM	Make the playoffs	Win the NFC South	Win the NFC	Win the Super Bowl
FalconsAtlanta	25.3%P 25.5 · K 25	21.4%P 21.3 · K 21.5	1.9%P 2.3 · K 1.5	0.8%P 0.8 · K 1*
SaintsNew Orleans	48%P 47 · K 49	41.3%P 40.5 · K 42	2%P 2.4 · K 1.5	1.3%P 1.1 · K 1.5

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.