Buccaneers at Cowboys

Thursday, October 8 · 8:15 PM ET · Thursday night

NFL · THURSDAY NIGHT

AWAYBuccaneersTampa Bay19%chance to win · Polymarket 19.5% · Kalshi 18.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 6 DAYSThu 8:15 PM ET

HOMECowboysDallas81%chance to win · Polymarket 80.5% · Kalshi 81.5%

Favorite: Cowboys, 81%Spread: Cowboys −9.5Total: 47.5The sites are 1.0 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line they both price live. The biggest difference is on the chance to win.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance the Cowboys win	80.5%	81.5%	1.0 pts
Spread: Cowboys −9.5Chance the Cowboys win by 10 or more	—	50%	—
Total: 47.5 pointsChance of 48 or more points combined	—	50%	—

The Cowboys have stayed between 80% and 82.5% since Oct 1. Polymarket has 80.5% and Kalshi 81.5% now.

Dallas Cowboys: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

75%80%85%Oct 2Polymarket 80.5%Kalshi 81.5%

Season odds for both teams, from Polymarket and Kalshi.

TEAM	Make the playoffs	Win their division	Win the NFC	Win the Super Bowl
BuccaneersTampa Bay	13.8%P 13.5 · K 14	14%P 13.5 · K 14.5	1.6%P 1.6 · K 1*	0.6%P 0.6 · K 1*
CowboysDallas	43.8%P 42.5 · K 45	28%P 27.5 · K 28.5	5%P 4.9 · K 5	3.2%P 4 · K 2.5

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.