Browns at Steelers

Sunday, November 1 · 1:00 PM ET · Sunday afternoon

NFL · SUNDAY AFTERNOONAFC NORTH GAME

AWAYBrownsCleveland35.5%chance to win · Polymarket 35.5% · Kalshi 35.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 1 DAYSun 1:00 PM ET

HOMESteelersPittsburgh64.5%chance to win · Polymarket 64.5% · Kalshi 64.5%

Favorite: Steelers, 64.5%Spread: Steelers −3.5Total: 38.5The sites agree

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line they both price live. The biggest difference is on the spread.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance the Steelers win	64.5%	64.5%	Same
Spread: Steelers −3.5Chance the Steelers win by 4 or more	49.5%	48.5%	1.0 pts
Total: 38.5 pointsChance of 39 or more points combined	52%	—	—

The Steelers have stayed between 57% and 66.5% since Oct 22. Both sites have them at 64.5% now.

Pittsburgh Steelers: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

55%60%65%70%Oct 23Oct 25Oct 27Oct 29Oct 31Both 64.5%

Both teams play in the AFC North, so this game moves the division race directly.

TEAM	Make the playoffs	Win the AFC North	Win the AFC	Win the Super Bowl
BrownsCleveland	39.6%P 40.1 · K 39	13.1%P 13.6 · K 12.5	1.9%P 1.3 · K 2.5	0.6%P 0.6 · K 1*
SteelersPittsburgh	51.3%P 52 · K 50.5	19.3%P 19 · K 19.5	2.7%P 1.9 · K 3.5	1.3%P 1.1 · K 1.5

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.