Packers at Lions

Sunday, October 25 · 4:25 PM ET · Sunday late afternoon

NFL · SUNDAY LATE AFTERNOONNFC NORTH GAME

AWAYPackersGreen Bay37%chance to win · Polymarket 36.5% · Kalshi 37.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 1 DAYSun 4:25 PM ET

HOMELionsDetroit63%chance to win · Polymarket 63.5% · Kalshi 62.5%

Favorite: Lions, 63%Spread: Lions −3.5Total: 54.5The sites are 1.0 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line they both price live. The biggest difference is on the chance to win.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance the Lions win	63.5%	62.5%	1.0 pts
Spread: Lions −3.5Chance the Lions win by 4 or more	50.5%	49.5%	1.0 pts
Total: 54.5 pointsChance of 55 or more points combined	47.5%	—	—

The Lions fell from 66.5% to 63.5% on Polymarket since Oct 15. Polymarket has 63.5% and Kalshi 62.5% now.

Detroit Lions: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

55%60%65%70%Oct 16Oct 18Oct 20Oct 22Oct 24Polymarket 63.5%Kalshi 62.5%

Both teams play in the NFC North, so this game moves the division race directly.

TEAM	Make the playoffs	Win the NFC North	Win the NFC	Win the Super Bowl
PackersGreen Bay	55.8%P 56 · K 55.5	14.3%P 15 · K 13.5	5.3%P 5 · K 5.5	2.6%P 2.7 · K 2.5
LionsDetroit	61.8%P 61 · K 62.5	22.5%P 21.5 · K 23.5	7.2%P 6.9 · K 7.5	3.3%P 3.1 · K 3.5