Dolphins at Jets

Sunday, October 25 · 1:00 PM ET · Sunday afternoon

NFL · SUNDAY AFTERNOONAFC EAST GAME

AWAYDolphinsMiami33.5%chance to win · Polymarket 33.5% · Kalshi 33.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 1 DAYSun 1:00 PM ET

HOMEJetsNew York66.5%chance to win · Polymarket 66.5% · Kalshi 66.5%

Favorite: Jets, 66.5%Spread: Jets −4.5Total: 38.5The sites agree

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line they both price live. The biggest difference is on the spread.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance the Jets win	66.5%	66.5%	Same
Spread: Jets −4.5Chance the Jets win by 5 or more	49.5%	48.5%	1.0 pts
Total: 38.5 pointsChance of 39 or more points combined	53.5%	—	—

The Jets have stayed between 66% and 69.5% since Oct 15. Both sites have them at 66.5% now.

New York Jets: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

65%70%75%Oct 16Oct 18Oct 20Oct 22Oct 24Both 66.5%

Both teams play in the AFC East, so this game moves the division race directly.

TEAM	Make the playoffs	Win the AFC East	Win the AFC	Win the Super Bowl
DolphinsMiami	1.8%P 1.8 · K 1*	0.6%P 0.6 · K 1*	0.3%P 0.3 · K 1*	0.2%P 0.2 · K 1*
JetsNew York	7.3%P 7 · K 7.5	1.5%P 1.4 · K 1.5	0.4%P 0.4 · K 1*	0.2%P 0.2 · K 1*

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.