PMN Topic Guide
Coverage of elections, policy fights, leadership contests, and political events through market-implied probabilities.
Political markets can react quickly to new information, but PMN still checks the market move against public reporting and context.
No. They are a different signal. PMN compares market movement with polls, timing, incentives, and event risk.
Prediction Market Network
Politics
Trump Cancels Planned AI Model Review Order After Adviser Objections
Market signal brief
Politics / 1 MIN READ
Still liveThe White House had been studying a security review process for AI models similar to FDA drug approval, but internal opposition derailed the order.
Politics / 1 MIN READ
Prediction markets price Texas Attorney General as heavy favorite over incumbent Cornyn one week before May 26 Republican primary.
Politics / 2 MIN READ
Still livePolymarket traders lowered probability to 30.5% after company added 535 bitcoin and executives said any sales would be tactical, not a reversal of accumulation.
Prediction Market Network
Politics
Trump’s Uranium Claim Meets Tehran’s Denial as Polymarket Prices 5.5% Odds
Market signal brief
Politics / 2 MIN READ
Still live## President says U.S. will “excavate” Iranian stockpile; Foreign Ministry calls enriched uranium “sacred.” Traders see 94.5% chance no transfer happens by May 31.
Prediction Market Network
Politics
Trump Faces Tight Deadline on Possible Strait of Hormuz Blockade Reversal
Market signal brief
Politics / 1 MIN READ
Still liveAnnouncement on ending blockade must come before May 31 to meet contract terms