PMN Daily Video Brief: Fed Policy Outlook Splits Wall Street Forecasters

Today's market video report — 3 stories moving prediction markets on July 12, 2026.

Watch today's Prediction Market Network video brief above.

Wall Street Divided on Fed'S Next Move — Wall Street can't agree on where the Fed is headed. Markets give just 11 percent odds that the central bank will hike rates by mid-2027, as major banks split sharply between forecasting tightening or easing. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/wall-street-split-on-fed-policy-as-hike-probability-holds-kxfedd-20260712

Musk Tweet Count Defies Market Forecast — Prediction markets price 47 percent odds that Elon Musk posts between 200 and 219 tweets this week. There's just one problem: live trackers already show him at 263 posts, and it's only Monday. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/musk-tweet-forecast-diverges-from-live-tracker-data-279101-20260712

Traders Dismiss Jumbo Fed Hike Scenario — Markets assign just 1.5 percent odds to an aggressive Fed rate hike in December 2027. Traders are betting on cuts instead, dismissing any prospect of dramatic tightening eighteen months out. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/markets-price-15-percent-chance-of-jumbo-fed-hike-kxfedd-20260712