PMN Daily Video Brief: Us Iran Airstrikes Priced at 72% Probability

Prediction markets now assign overwhelming probability to Bitcoin breaching key resistance level before month-end despite macro headwinds.

Watch today's Prediction Market Network video brief above.

Us Expands Iran Airstrike Campaign — Markets now price a 72 percent probability that the United States has expanded its airstrike campaign against Iran following the collapse of ceasefire talks. Traders are betting on sustained military pressure targeting infrastructure around the Strait of Hormuz. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/united-states-expands-airstrike-campaign-against-iran-after--273011-20260717

England Final Odds Crater to Near Zero — In a stunning overnight collapse, England's odds of reaching Sunday's final have cratered to just 0.05 percent despite leading their group. Traders dumped 54 points of conviction in a matter of hours, pricing the Three Lions as essentially eliminated. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/england-final-odds-collapse-to-005-percent-despite-group-lea-207156-20260715

Trump War College Speech Odds Plummet — Prediction markets have slashed the probability of Trump delivering prepared remarks at the Carlisle War College defense summit to just 1 percent. The 80-point overnight drop comes as no speech text has surfaced ahead of his scheduled appearance. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/trump-defense-summit-remarks-odds-collapse-to-1-percent-kxtrum-20260715