Markets / 1 MIN READ
Today's market video report — 3 stories moving prediction markets on August 5, 2026.
Markets in this brief
Odds for every market mentioned in today's video.
Markets / 1 MIN READ
Traders slashed the probability of Bitcoin touching $62,000 this week to 25.5% after futures data showed the asset staying above that threshold through late July.
Markets / 1 MIN READ
Polymarket traders now assign a 3.85% probability to Bitcoin touching $62,500 in July, down sharply from 8% a day ago.
Markets / 2 MIN READ
The Federal Reserve's rate decision on July 29 adds a critical catalyst for Bitcoin's slim 9.5% chance of hitting $67,500 by month's end.
© 2026 Prediction Market Network. Market data references Polymarket and Kalshi and may change rapidly.
Watch today's Prediction Market Network video brief above.
Spider-Man $900m Math Challenge — Spider-Man's sequel swung to a record $355 million opening, but the market says it needs an impossible $545 million in 28 days to hit $900 million. Traders put the odds at 81%—and that math is not friendly. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/spider-man-sequels-900m-goal-faces-math-challenge-296656-20260804
Iran Blockade End at 70% — Polymarket bettors see a 69.5% chance the U.S. officially announces an end to the Iran blockade by August 15th. That's a diplomatic deadline worth watching. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/us-iran-blockade-end-announcement-by-aug-15-at-695-291043-20260804
Spider-Man $900m Unlikely — Even with a record $355 million debut, hitting $900 million by August 31st is a long shot. The market says 79%—but that's still a bet against the odds. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/spider-man-sequels-900m-domestic-goal-looks-unlikely-296656-20260804