Live market ticker. Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?: 19 percent; US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?: 47 percent; Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?: 12 percent; MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?: 53 percent; Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 1 percent