Live market ticker. Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?: 40 percent; Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: 13 percent; Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?: 58 percent; US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?: 25 percent; Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?: 1 percent