Live market ticker. Iran leadership change by December 31?: 16 percent; Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?: 8 percent; Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: 21 percent; Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?: 1 percent; Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?: 0 percent