Live market ticker. Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?: 49 percent; US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?: 82 percent; Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?: 79 percent; US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?: 62 percent; Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting: Fed maintains rate?: 51 percent