Live market ticker. Jeremy Peña: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?: 40 percent; Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?: 55 percent; Iran leadership change by December 31?: 16 percent; 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House: 47 percent; Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: 27 percent