Live market ticker. US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?: 5 percent; Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?: 67 percent; Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?: 0 percent; Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?: 100 percent; Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?: 79 percent