Live market ticker. US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?: 19 percent; US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?: 58 percent; Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?: 41 percent; Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?: 80 percent; US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?: 93 percent