Live market ticker. Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?: 29 percent; Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?: 58 percent; Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?: 76 percent; Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?: 29 percent; Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?: 29 percent