Live market ticker. US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?: 22 percent; Fed rate hike in 2026?: 62 percent; Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?: 9 percent; New York Y wins by over 4.5 runs?: 55 percent; U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?: 98 percent