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Live market ticker. Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?: 47 percent; US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?: 18 percent; Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?: 100 percent; Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?: 26 percent; Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?: 23 percent
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?47%+39.9ppPOLYMARKET·US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?18%-71.4ppPOLYMARKET·Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?>99%+11.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?26%+10.4ppPOLYMARKET·Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?23%+22.6ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?23%+3.0ppKALSHI·Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?<1%POLYMARKET·Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?6%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?<1%POLYMARKET·Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?6%POLYMARKET·Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?55%-5.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?3%POLYMARKET·Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?<1%POLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?28%-12.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?9%-3.0ppPOLYMARKET·Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?1%-6.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?8%+3.7ppPOLYMARKET·Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?10%-17.0ppPOLYMARKET·US strike on Cuba by December 31?49%-4.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?<1%POLYMARKET·Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?67%+18.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 73.99 USD/Bbl on Jun 22, 2026?72%+20.0ppKALSHI·Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?13%-13.5ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?9%POLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?47%-7.0ppPOLYMARKET·Starmer out by June 30, 2026?30%+1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?7%-0.7ppPOLYMARKET·Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?3%POLYMARKET·Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?2%-1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?<1%POLYMARKET·
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