Live market ticker. US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?: 12 percent; Iran leadership change by December 31?: 23 percent; Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?: 76 percent; Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: 13 percent; Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?: 48 percent