Live market ticker. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?: 95 percent; US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?: 17 percent; Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting: Cut 25bps?: 7 percent; Dylan Cease: 8+ strikeouts?: 66 percent; Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?: 67 percent