Live market ticker. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?: 100 percent; Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: 21 percent; US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?: 43 percent; US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?: 64 percent; Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?: 59 percent