Live market ticker. Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?: 0 percent; US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?: 8 percent; Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?: 90 percent; Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?: 57 percent; Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?: 82 percent