Live market ticker. Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?: 69 percent; Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: 31 percent; Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?: 74 percent; Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?: 60 percent; Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?: 19 percent