Live market ticker. Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?: 67 percent; Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?: 52 percent; Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?: 60 percent; Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: 29 percent; Will Theo Papamalamis win the Nagel vs Papamalamis: M15 Strasbourg Semifinal match?: 38 percent