Live market ticker. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?: 98 percent; Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: 17 percent; Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: 35 percent; US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?: 41 percent; US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?: 66 percent