Live market ticker. Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?: 98 percent; Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: 26 percent; US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?: 69 percent; US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?: 55 percent; US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?: 53 percent