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Live market ticker. Fed rate hike in 2026?: 61 percent; France vs. Spain: Team to Advance: 59 percent; Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?: 30 percent; Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?: 31 percent; Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?: 44 percent
Fed rate hike in 2026?61%+3.0ppPOLYMARKET·France vs. Spain: Team to Advance59%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?30%-11.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?31%-18.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?44%+25.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?18%-2.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?<1%POLYMARKET·Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?18%POLYMARKET·Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?77%-1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?34%-7.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?81%+53.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?9%POLYMARKET·Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?30%POLYMARKET·Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?4%+0.3ppPOLYMARKET·Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?9%POLYMARKET·Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?50%POLYMARKET·Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?4%+0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting?2%-47.0ppKALSHI·Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?73%-13.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?44%+19.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?4%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?3%+0.2ppPOLYMARKET·US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?6%-3.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?45%+3.6ppPOLYMARKET·Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?<1%POLYMARKET·Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 13?24%-30.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?2%+0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?17%-8.0ppPOLYMARKET·SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 13?25%-23.5ppPOLYMARKET·What will the announcers say during 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup Final?40%-21.0ppKALSHI·
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