Live market ticker. US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?: 8 percent; Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?: 0 percent; Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?: 60 percent; Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?: 53 percent; Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?: 60 percent