Live market ticker. US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?: 37 percent; Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?: 23 percent; Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?: 83 percent; Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?: 50 percent; Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?: 1 percent