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Live market ticker. Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?: 0 percent; Starmer out by June 30, 2026?: 87 percent; Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?: 26 percent; Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?: 43 percent; Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?: 20 percent
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?<1%-27.9ppPOLYMARKET·Starmer out by June 30, 2026?87%+24.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?26%-47.2ppPOLYMARKET·Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?43%-26.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?20%-4.0ppKALSHI·Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?<1%POLYMARKET·Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?<1%+0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?<1%POLYMARKET·Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?6%POLYMARKET·Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?13%POLYMARKET·GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?30%-46.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?6%POLYMARKET·Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%POLYMARKET·Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?78%+4.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%POLYMARKET·Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?18%+3.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 77.99 USD/Bbl on Jun 22, 2026?57%+15.0ppKALSHI·Spread: Spain (-2.5)54%+4.0ppPOLYMARKET·Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?16%+4.5ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?8%POLYMARKET·Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?>99%POLYMARKET·Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?4%-0.7ppPOLYMARKET·Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?<1%POLYMARKET·US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?<1%POLYMARKET·Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?4%+1.5ppPOLYMARKET·Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?2%POLYMARKET·Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?3%-1.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?56%+7.0ppPOLYMARKET·China x Philippines military clash before 2027?17%-5.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?58%POLYMARKET·
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