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If the 13th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If the 13th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?
+0.2pp over 24h
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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
-3.6pp over 24h
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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?
No 24h delta available yet
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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
-0.5pp over 24h
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Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?
-8.5pp over 24h
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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?
No 24h delta available yet
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Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?
+5.0pp over 24h
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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?
-86.3pp over 24h
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