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Live market ticker. Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?: 31 percent; Fed rate hike in 2026?: 61 percent; Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?: 48 percent; France vs. Spain: Team to Advance: 59 percent; Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 18 percent
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?31%-19.5ppPOLYMARKET·Fed rate hike in 2026?61%+6.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?48%+31.0ppPOLYMARKET·France vs. Spain: Team to Advance59%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?18%-2.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?<1%POLYMARKET·Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?18%+1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?77%-1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?34%-7.9ppPOLYMARKET·Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?43%+17.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?78%+55.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?4%+0.3ppPOLYMARKET·Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?18%-8.0ppPOLYMARKET·Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?9%POLYMARKET·Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?29%-1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?50%POLYMARKET·Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?4%+0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting?2%-47.0ppKALSHI·Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?4%-0.3ppPOLYMARKET·Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?3%+0.2ppPOLYMARKET·Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?<1%POLYMARKET·Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?3%+0.2ppPOLYMARKET·US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?31%-9.0ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?<1%POLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?3%-1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1%+0.3ppPOLYMARKET·Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?4%+1.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?45%+2.3ppPOLYMARKET·Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?6%-0.8ppPOLYMARKET·US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?7%-2.0ppPOLYMARKET·
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