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Live Market Board
Event clusters from Polymarket and Kalshi with active market counts, volume, liquidity cues, and the highest-signal contracts inside each event.
Events
30
Markets
54
Volume
$180.6M
Sources
30/0
Poly/Kalshi
World / 1 market
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
0.0pp / $107K
14%
Volume
$70.3M
World / 1 market
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
-0.2pp / $42K
3%
Volume
$43.1M
World / 1 market
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
0.0pp / $81K
7%
Volume
$26.5M
Ranked by activity · Page 1 of 2
Volume
$13.7M
Open Interest
$323.0M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
0.0pp / $56K
20%
Iran / US-Iran / Peace Deal / Geopolitics / Middle East
Volume
$3.9M
Open Interest
$323.0M
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
-2.0pp / $33K
13%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
+0.3pp / $6K
3%
Volume
$3.4M
Open Interest
$323.0M
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
+0.2pp / $52
4%
Iran / Trump / Blockade / Politics / shipping
Volume
$3.2M
Markets
3
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
-6.0pp / $123K
24%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
-9.0pp / $59K
8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
-4.5pp / $3K
73%
Volume
$3.0M
Open Interest
$323.0M
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
-1.5pp / $50K
2%
Volume
$2.1M
Markets
1
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
No 24h move / $2.1M
6%
Volume
$1.7M
Markets
1
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
-2.0pp / $3K
14%
Oil / Iran / Hormuz / Politics / Geopolitics
Volume
$1.5M
Markets
1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
-1.0pp / $73K
3%
Volume
$1.3M
Markets
1
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
+0.8pp / $733
3%
Volume
$1.3M
Markets
1
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
No 24h move / $207
2%
Volume
$949K
Markets
8
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
-0.4pp / $1K
64%
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?
0.0pp / $86
<1%
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
+0.7pp / $62
31%
Iran / toll / Geopolitics / Strait of Hormuz / Oil
Volume
$901K
Markets
2
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
-9.0pp / $10K
8%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
-6.5pp / $2K
24%
Volume
$755K
Markets
1
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
-0.5pp / $6K
8%
Politics / Iran / Iran Regime / Geopolitics / Mojtaba
Volume
$602K
Markets
2
Iran leadership change by October 31?
-0.9pp / $33K
3%
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
No 24h move / $4K
24%
Volume
$445K
Markets
1
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
No 24h move / $230
8%
Volume
$266K
Markets
1
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
-0.2pp / $266K
4%
Volume
$265K
Markets
1
NATO article 5 before 2027?
-0.2pp / $135
6%
Volume
$238K
Markets
1
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
+0.2pp / $12
2%
Volume
$213K
Markets
1
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
No 24h move / $1
5%
Volume
$201K
Markets
13
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
No 24h move / $318
9%
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?
+2.5pp / $178
18%
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
No 24h move / $47
7%
Volume
$186K
Markets
1
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
-1.5pp / $9
5%
Volume
$177K
Markets
1
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
0.0pp / $29
2%
Volume
$156K
Markets
1
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
No 24h move / $25
4%
Volume
$95K
Markets
1
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
-0.1pp / $31
2%
© 2026 Prediction Market Network. Market data references Polymarket and Kalshi and may change rapidly.