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Live Market Board
Event clusters from Polymarket and Kalshi with active market counts, volume, liquidity cues, and the highest-signal contracts inside each event.
Events
30
Markets
50
Volume
$108.9M
Sources
30/0
Poly/Kalshi
World / 1 market
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
0.0pp / $8K
4%
Volume
$39.8M
World / 2 markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
-0.6pp / $267K
1%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
0.0pp / $190K
<1%
Volume
$21.3M
World / 1 market
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
-2.0pp / $49K
44%
Volume
$8.2M
Ranked by activity · Page 1 of 2
Middle East / Iran / World / Geopolitics / Politics
Volume
$7.0M
Open Interest
$350.8M
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
+0.9pp / $26K
82%
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
+0.3pp / $8K
<1%
Iran Regime / Iran / Mojtaba Khamenei / Khamenei / Geopolitics
Volume
$4.9M
Open Interest
$350.8M
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
-0.2pp / $96K
<1%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
No 24h move / $27K
9%
Iran / US-Iran / Peace Deal / Geopolitics / Middle East
Volume
$4.1M
Open Interest
$350.8M
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
0.0pp / $67K
<1%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
No 24h move / $35K
18%
Iran / Trump / Blockade / Politics / shipping
Volume
$3.9M
Open Interest
$350.8M
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
-7.0pp / $219K
15%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
-4.0pp / $132K
6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
-3.0pp / $43K
41%
Volume
$3.6M
Open Interest
$350.8M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
-2.0pp / $149K
12%
Volume
$3.2M
Open Interest
$350.8M
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
+0.2pp / $782
7%
Volume
$2.1M
Open Interest
$350.8M
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
0.0pp / $61
11%
Volume
$1.9M
Open Interest
$350.8M
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
-9.0pp / $58K
8%
Volume
$1.4M
Markets
1
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
+2.5pp / $52K
39%
Volume
$1.3M
Markets
2
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
No 24h move / $33
3%
Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?
No 24h move / $6K
<1%
Volume
$1.2M
Markets
1
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
No 24h move / $1.2M
3%
Politics / Geopolitics / Israel x Iran / Iran / Israel
Volume
$1.1M
Markets
1
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
-2.6pp / $57K
3%
Volume
$865K
Markets
8
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?
-4.6pp / $203
27%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
+1.5pp / $65
64%
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?
No 24h move / $150K
<1%
Volume
$714K
Markets
1
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
-0.5pp / $223
13%
Volume
$426K
Markets
1
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
-1.0pp / $95
8%
Politics / Iran / Iran Regime / Geopolitics / Mojtaba
Volume
$295K
Markets
2
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
-1.0pp / $407
26%
Iran leadership change by August 22?
-0.4pp / $25K
<1%
Volume
$246K
Markets
1
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
No 24h move / $246K
5%
Volume
$234K
Markets
2
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?
No 24h move / $50
1%
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
No 24h move / $19
13%
Volume
$209K
Markets
1
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
No 24h move / $209K
6%
Volume
$199K
Markets
1
NATO article 5 before 2027?
+0.2pp / $199K
5%
Volume
$184K
Markets
1
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
-1.0pp / $184K
8%
Iran / Trump / Peace Deal / Geopolitics / Strait of Hormuz
Volume
$182K
Markets
2
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
-9.5pp / $36K
32%
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
+1.5pp / $4K
63%
Volume
$166K
Markets
1
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
+0.8pp / $127
4%
Volume
$134K
Markets
1
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
No 24h move / $134K
9%
© 2026 Prediction Market Network. Market data references Polymarket and Kalshi and may change rapidly.