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Live Market Board
Event clusters from Polymarket and Kalshi with active market counts, volume, liquidity cues, and the highest-signal contracts inside each event.
Events
31
Markets
45
Volume
$182.6M
Sources
28/3
Poly/Kalshi
World / 1 market
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
-1.0pp / $313K
15%
Volume
$72.2M
World / 1 market
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
0.0pp / $49K
2%
Volume
$43.6M
World / 1 market
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
-1.0pp / $104K
6%
Volume
$26.8M
Ranked by activity · Page 1 of 2
Politics / ships / Geopolitics / Economy / Iran Ceasefire
Volume
$14.2M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
0.0pp / $46K
19%
Iran / Trump / Blockade / Politics / shipping
Volume
$7.9M
Open Interest
$676.0M
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
-1.0pp / $110K
23%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
-0.6pp / $58K
50%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
-1.0pp / $350K
13%
Volume
$3.4M
Open Interest
$338.0M
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
-0.1pp / $1
4%
International
Volume
$3.1M
Open Interest
$1.2M
Before Jan 1, 2027
-2.0pp / $2K
14%
Volume
$2.1M
Markets
1
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
-1.0pp / $108
5%
Volume
$1.7M
Markets
1
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
+1.0pp / $776
13%
Volume
$1.3M
Markets
1
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
No 24h move / $47
2%
Iran Regime / Iran / Mojtaba Khamenei / Khamenei / Geopolitics
Volume
$943K
Markets
2
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
-1.0pp / $53K
6%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?
No 24h move / $22K
1%
Volume
$829K
Markets
7
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
-0.1pp / $171
62%
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?
No 24h move / $153K
<1%
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?
No 24h move / $131K
<1%
Volume
$763K
Markets
1
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
-1.9pp / $1K
4%
Politics / Iran / Iran Regime / Geopolitics / Mojtaba
Volume
$733K
Markets
2
Iran leadership change by October 31?
+0.3pp / $35K
2%
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
No 24h move / $750
23%
Volume
$448K
Markets
1
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
-0.6pp / $1K
4%
Iran / Trump
Volume
$392K
Open Interest
$164K
Will Donald Trump visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027?
-0.4pp / $2K
3%
Oil / Iran / Yemen / Houthis / Politics
Volume
$278K
Markets
2
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?
+2.0pp / $45K
12%
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?
+1.5pp / $4K
28%
Volume
$267K
Markets
1
NATO article 5 before 2027?
-0.2pp / $60
6%
Volume
$266K
Markets
1
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
+0.5pp / $0
4%
Volume
$239K
Markets
1
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
+1.7pp / $221
3%
Volume
$213K
Markets
1
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
+0.1pp / $83
5%
Volume
$186K
Markets
1
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
-0.5pp / $139
4%
Volume
$178K
Markets
1
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
-0.2pp / $178K
2%
Volume
$161K
Markets
1
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
+0.1pp / $2K
4%
Volume
$97K
Markets
1
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
No 24h move / $149
2%
Volume
$92K
Markets
1
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
-0.2pp / $190
5%
Tech / Economy / Finance / Big Tech / Business
Volume
$71K
Markets
2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
0.0pp / $4K
96%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
+0.1pp / $8K
<1%
© 2026 Prediction Market Network. Market data references Polymarket and Kalshi and may change rapidly.