Alabama at Mississippi State

Saturday, October 3 · 12:00 PM ET · Saturday early game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY EARLY GAMESEC GAME

AWAYAlabamaCrimson Tide66.5%chance to win · Polymarket 66.5% · Kalshi 66.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 1 DAYSat 12:00 PM ET

HOMEMississippi StateBulldogs33.5%chance to win · Polymarket 33.5% · Kalshi 33.5%

Favorite: Alabama, 66.5%Spread: Alabama −5.5Total: 59.5The sites agree

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 0.5 points of each other on every line they both price live. The biggest difference is on the spread.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Alabama wins	66.5%	66.5%	Same
Spread: Alabama −5.5Chance Alabama wins by 6 or more	50.5%	51%	0.5 pts
Total: 59.5 pointsChance of 60 or more points combined	52%	—	—

Alabama has stayed between 66.5% and 66.5% since Oct 1. Both sites have it at 66.5% now.

Alabama Crimson Tide: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

65%70%75%Oct 2Both 66.5%

Both teams play in the SEC, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the SEC	Win the national title
AlabamaCrimson Tide	52.8%P 52.5 · K 53	11.5%P 11* · K 11.5	3.9%P 3.4 · K 4.5
Mississippi StateBulldogs	19.5%P — · K 19.5	3.2%P 3.8 · K 2.5	1%P — · K 1*

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.