Florida at Missouri

Saturday, October 3 · 3:30 PM ET · Saturday afternoon game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY AFTERNOON GAMESEC GAME

AWAYFloridaGators66%chance to win · Polymarket 65.5% · Kalshi 66.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 1 DAYSat 3:30 PM ET

HOMEMissouriTigers34%chance to win · Polymarket 34.5% · Kalshi 33.5%

Favorite: Florida, 66%Spread: Florida −5.5Total: 57.5The sites are 1.0 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line here. The biggest difference is on the chance to win.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Florida wins	65.5%	66.5%	1.0 pts
Spread: Florida −5.5Chance Florida wins by 6 or more	50.5%	50%	0.5 pts
Total: 57.5 pointsChance of 58 or more points combined	51.5%	51.5%	Same

Florida has stayed between 65.5% and 66.5% since Oct 1. Polymarket has 65.5% and Kalshi 66.5% now.

Florida Gators: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

60%65%70%Oct 2Polymarket 65.5%Kalshi 66.5%

Both teams play in the SEC, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the SEC	Win the national title
FloridaGators	55.5%P 55 · K 56	13.2%P 14 · K 12.5	5.2%P 6 · K 4.5
MissouriTigers	6.5%P 8 · K 5	4.6%P 4.6 · K 1*	1%P — · K 1*

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.