Auburn at Tennessee

Saturday, October 3 · 3:30 PM ET · Saturday afternoon game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY AFTERNOON GAMESEC GAME

AWAYAuburnTigers28.5%chance to win · Polymarket 28.5% · Kalshi 28.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 1 DAYSat 3:30 PM ET

HOMETennesseeVolunteers71.5%chance to win · Polymarket 71.5% · Kalshi 71.5%

Favorite: Tennessee, 71.5%Spread: Tennessee −7.5Total: 53.5The sites agree

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line they both price live. The biggest difference is on the spread.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Tennessee wins	71.5%	71.5%	Same
Spread: Tennessee −7.5Chance Tennessee wins by 8 or more	47.5%	46.5%	1.0 pts
Total: 53.5 pointsChance of 54 or more points combined	50.5%	—	—

Tennessee has stayed between 70.5% and 71.5% since Oct 1. Both sites have it at 71.5% now.

Tennessee Volunteers: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

65%70%75%Oct 2Both 71.5%

Both teams play in the SEC, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the SEC	Win the national title
AuburnTigers	6%P 7.5 · K 4.5	3.2%P 3.2 · K 1*	1%P — · K 1*
TennesseeVolunteers	24%P 30* · K 24	1.5%P 0.2* · K 1.5	1%P — · K 1*

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.