Pittsburgh at Miami (FL)

Saturday, October 24 · 12:00 PM ET · Saturday early game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY EARLY GAMEACC GAME

AWAYPittsburghPanthers8%chance to win · Polymarket 8.5% · Kalshi 7.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 2 DAYSSat 12:00 PM ET

HOMEMiami (FL)Hurricanes92%chance to win · Polymarket 91.5% · Kalshi 92.5%

Favorite: Miami (FL), 92%Spread: Miami (FL) −19.5Total: 49.5The sites are 1.0 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line they both price live. The biggest difference is on the chance to win.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Miami (FL) wins	91.5%	92.5%	1.0 pts
Spread: Miami (FL) −19.5Chance Miami (FL) wins by 20 or more	50.5%	—	—
Total: 49.5 pointsChance of 50 or more points combined	46.5%	—	—

Miami (FL) has stayed between 84% and 94.5% since Oct 13. Polymarket has 91.5% and Kalshi 92.5% now.

Miami (FL) Hurricanes: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

80%85%90%95%100%Oct 14Oct 16Oct 18Oct 20Oct 22Polymarket 91.5%Kalshi 92.5%

Both teams play in the ACC, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the ACC	Win the national title
PittsburghPanthers	2.7%P 3.9 · K 1.5	1.2%P 1.2 · K 1*	1%P — · K 1*
Miami (FL)Hurricanes	91.5%P 93* · K 91.5	73.8%P 74 · K 73.5	14.7%P 15 · K 14.5

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.