San Diego at Dayton

Saturday, October 24 · 12:00 PM ET · Saturday early game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY EARLY GAME

AWAYSan DiegoToreros34.2%chance to win · Polymarket 34.5% · Kalshi 34%

atKICKS OFFIN 9 HR 9 MINSat 12:00 PM ET

HOMEDaytonFlyers65.8%chance to win · Polymarket 65.5% · Kalshi 66%

Favorite: Dayton, 65.8%Spread: Dayton −4.5Total: 55.5The sites are 0.5 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 0.5 points of each other on every line they both price live. The biggest difference is on the chance to win.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Dayton wins	65.5%	66%	0.5 pts
Spread: Dayton −4.5Chance Dayton wins by 5 or more	—	53%	—
Total: 55.5 pointsChance of 56 or more points combined	49.5%	—	—

Dayton fell from 69% to 65.5% on Polymarket since Oct 17, peaking at 88%. Polymarket has 65.5% and Kalshi 66% now.

Dayton Flyers: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

60%65%70%75%80%85%90%Oct 18Oct 20Oct 22Oct 24Polymarket 65.5%Kalshi 66%

Season odds for both teams, from Polymarket and Kalshi.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the national title
San DiegoToreros	—Not listed	—Not listed
DaytonFlyers	—Not listed	—Not listed