Cowboys at Texans

Sunday, October 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Sunday afternoon

NFL · SUNDAY AFTERNOON

AWAYCowboysDallas40.5%chance to win · Polymarket 40.5% · Kalshi 40.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 2 DAYSSun 1:00 PM ET

HOMETexansHouston59.5%chance to win · Polymarket 59.5% · Kalshi 59.5%

Favorite: Texans, 59.5%Spread: Texans −3.5Total: 48.5The sites agree

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line they both price live. The biggest difference is on the total.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance the Texans win	59.5%	59.5%	Same
Spread: Texans −3.5Chance the Texans win by 4 or more	45.5%	—	—
Total: 48.5 pointsChance of 49 or more points combined	49.5%	50.5%	1.0 pts

The Texans have stayed between 59.5% and 59.5% since Oct 1. Both sites have them at 59.5% now.

Houston Texans: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

55%60%65%Oct 2Both 59.5%

Season odds for both teams, from Polymarket and Kalshi.

TEAM	Make the playoffs	Win their division	Win their conference	Win the Super Bowl
CowboysDallas	43.8%P 42.5 · K 45	28%P 27.5 · K 28.5	5%P 4.9 · K 5	3.2%P 4 · K 2.5
TexansHouston	36.5%P 36 · K 37	22.3%P 22 · K 22.5	4%P 3.6 · K 4.5	1.6%P 1.8 · K 1.5