Colts at Commanders

Sunday, October 4 · 9:30 AM ET · Sunday morning

NFL · SUNDAY MORNING

AWAYColtsIndianapolis64.5%chance to win · Polymarket 64.5% · Kalshi 64.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 2 DAYSSun 9:30 AM ET

HOMECommandersWashington35.5%chance to win · Polymarket 35.5% · Kalshi 35.5%

Favorite: Colts, 64.5%Spread: Colts −3.5Total: 48.5The sites agree

The two sites agree

Polymarket and Kalshi give the Colts the same 64.5% chance to win, and they match on every line here.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance the Colts win	64.5%	64.5%	Same
Spread: Colts −3.5Chance the Colts win by 4 or more	51.5%	51.5%	Same
Total: 48.5 pointsChance of 49 or more points combined	49.5%	49.5%	Same

The Colts have stayed between 63.5% and 64.5% since Oct 1. Both sites have them at 64.5% now.

Indianapolis Colts: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

60%65%70%Oct 2Both 64.5%

Season odds for both teams, from Polymarket and Kalshi.

TEAM	Make the playoffs	Win their division	Win their conference	Win the Super Bowl
ColtsIndianapolis	36%P 35.5 · K 36.5	20.8%P 20 · K 21.5	1.5%P 1.6 · K 1.5	0.8%P 0.8 · K 1*
CommandersWashington	19.8%P 19.5 · K 20	9.2%P 8.8 · K 9.5	1.6%P 1.7 · K 1.5	0.7%P 0.7 · K 1*

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.