Chiefs at Raiders

Sunday, October 4 · 4:25 PM ET · Sunday late afternoon

NFL · SUNDAY LATE AFTERNOONAFC WEST GAME

AWAYChiefsKansas City65.5%chance to win · Polymarket 65.5% · Kalshi 65.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 2 DAYSSun 4:25 PM ET

HOMERaidersLas Vegas34.5%chance to win · Polymarket 34.5% · Kalshi 34.5%

Favorite: Chiefs, 65.5%Spread: Chiefs −4.5Total: 48.5The sites agree

The two sites agree

Polymarket and Kalshi give the Chiefs the same 65.5% chance to win. Not every line here has a live price on both sites.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance the Chiefs win	65.5%	65.5%	Same
Spread: Chiefs −4.5Chance the Chiefs win by 5 or more	48.5%	48.5%	Same
Total: 48.5 pointsChance of 49 or more points combined	46.5%	—	—

The Chiefs have stayed between 64.5% and 65.5% since Oct 1. Both sites have them at 65.5% now.

Kansas City Chiefs: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

60%65%70%Oct 2Both 65.5%

Both teams play in the AFC West, so this game moves the division race directly.

TEAM	Make the playoffs	Win the AFC West	Win the AFC	Win the Super Bowl
ChiefsKansas City	84.8%P 85 · K 84.5	55.3%P 56 · K 54.5	15.3%P 16 · K 14.5	8.1%P 8.7 · K 7.5
RaidersLas Vegas	38%P 37.5 · K 38.5	13%P 14.4 · K 11.5	2.3%P 2.1 · K 2.5	1.8%P 1.1 · K 2.5