Dolphins at Vikings

Sunday, October 4 · 4:05 PM ET · Sunday late afternoon

NFL · SUNDAY LATE AFTERNOON

AWAYDolphinsMiami16.5%chance to win · Polymarket 16.5% · Kalshi 16.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 2 DAYSSun 4:05 PM ET

HOMEVikingsMinnesota83.5%chance to win · Polymarket 83.5% · Kalshi 83.5%

Favorite: Vikings, 83.5%Spread: Vikings −10.5Total: 38.5The sites agree

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 0.5 points of each other on every line here. The biggest difference is on the spread.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance the Vikings win	83.5%	83.5%	Same
Spread: Vikings −10.5Chance the Vikings win by 11 or more	49%	48.5%	0.5 pts
Total: 38.5 pointsChance of 39 or more points combined	51.5%	51%	0.5 pts

The Vikings have stayed between 83.5% and 84.5% since Oct 1. Both sites have them at 83.5% now.

Minnesota Vikings: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

80%85%90%Oct 2Both 83.5%

Season odds for both teams, from Polymarket and Kalshi.

TEAM	Make the playoffs	Win their division	Win their conference	Win the Super Bowl
DolphinsMiami	2%P 2.4 · K 1.5	0.5%P 0.5 · K 1*	0.4%P 0.4 · K 1*	0.4%P 0.4 · K 1*
VikingsMinnesota	71.3%P 72 · K 70.5	37.5%P 39.5 · K 35.5	7.3%P 7.1 · K 7.5	3.3%P 3.2 · K 3.5

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.