Jets at Bears

Sunday, October 4 · 1:00 PM ET · Sunday afternoon

NFL · SUNDAY AFTERNOON

AWAYJetsNew York37.5%chance to win · Polymarket 37.5% · Kalshi 37.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 2 DAYSSun 1:00 PM ET

HOMEBearsChicago62.5%chance to win · Polymarket 62.5% · Kalshi 62.5%

Favorite: Bears, 62.5%Spread: Bears −3.5Total: 43.5The sites agree

The two sites split

The sites are 2.0 points apart on the total. Gaps of 1.5 points or more are in red.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance the Bears win	62.5%	62.5%	Same
Spread: Bears −3.5Chance the Bears win by 4 or more	48.5%	48.5%	Same
Total: 43.5 pointsChance of 44 or more points combined	49.5%	47.5%	2.0 pts

The Bears have stayed between 61.5% and 62.5% since Oct 1. Both sites have them at 62.5% now.

Chicago Bears: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

60%65%70%Oct 2Both 62.5%

Season odds for both teams, from Polymarket and Kalshi.

TEAM	Make the playoffs	Win their division	Win their conference	Win the Super Bowl
JetsNew York	15.5%P 16.5 · K 14.5	3.2%P 2.9 · K 3.5	0.5%P 0.5 · K 1*	0.5%P 0.5 · K 1*
BearsChicago	51.8%P 51 · K 52.5	21%P 22.5 · K 19.5	7.5%P 7.5 · K 7.5	3.5%P 3.6 · K 3.5

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.